Since you asked…
Every blogger has to weigh in on war with Iraq sooner or later.
One of the best reasons I’ve seen so far for supporting a war with Iraq is simply who’s against it. I mean, people, if you line up and see Barbra Streisand, Ted Kennedy and Alice Walker on your side, you’re on the wrong side.
But I was trying to sort it out when I got another e-mail from Toronto’s very own Queen of Marketing, Sarah Welstead, The Girl Who Actually Writes Well And Pays Attention And Gives A Damn Where The Commas Go And Doesn’t Split Infinitives Even. After another great e-mail (sign up to be put on the mailing list) Sarah came right out and asked okay, pal, where do you stand?
“I’m trying very hard to pay attention to all the political commentary, since I know it should mean more to me than it does. But I got very mad the other day - I caught a bit of Oprah (I know, but my mother was here), and they were supposedly doing an ‘information session’ following Bush’s announcement of ‘war on Iraq’.
“‘Information session’ would lead one to believe that one might expect at least an attempt to be unpartisan, but - what was I thinking? - of course this was Oprah... They had an ex-CIA guy who has written a book on why the US should go to war with Iraq (they have nuclear weapons, they have biochemical weapons, they are making more as fast as they can, and Saddam Hussein is a jerk). He talked intelligently, but I had to ask myself: Why is he EX-CIA? Why do people become exes of the CIA? Why is he allowed to use information that he learned while he was at the CIA to write a book and sell a lot of copies on Oprah about it?
“Oh - I know: he’s useful to the Bush cause.
“Then they had an Iraqi fellow who had been captured - with his brother, which allowed for a tearful moment - by Saddam Hussein’s soldiers and kept naked and starving in a 3x4 foot room (they said there were at least 12 other people in there at the time, and I couldn’t work out the physics of this) for 47 days. He was put in there for making a joke about Saddam Hussein. Eventually he was released and came to the US. But how did he get out? How did he get to the US? How did he come to be a mouthpiece for Iraqis?
“Anyhow, he basically said that 99.9% of Iraqis are nice, peace-loving people who hate Hussein. Okay, I thought, then why doesn’t someone just kill him? Why doesn’t the US or someone send in a SWAT team and take him out? How hard is that?
“Oh - I know: it’s not really that simple.
“Then Oprah took comments and questions from the audience. Most of them were things like ‘I wasn’t sure before, but now I know this evil man has to be stopped,’ and ‘Thank God [with a capital G] for America,’ and ‘America has a responsibility to save all the countries of the world from evilness like Saddam Hussein.’ So far, so predictable, and lots of clapping.
“Then one woman had the temerity to say, ‘Well, I’m still not quite sure about all this. I mean, it’s not like Iraq is the only place where atrocities are going on, it’s not like the atrocities just started yesterday, and although I understand that you are telling the truth about your experiences and everything, why do we suddenly have to walk into a war with Iraq? Saddam Hussein has been a problem for years - why is he suddenly public enemy #1?’ Quite reasonable questions, I thought.
“Well, she practically got lynched (heck, if she’d been in Iraq, she’d probably have been captured and held naked in a 3x4 room with 12 other people for 47 days). The ex-CIA guy looked mean, the Iraqi guy looked appalled, and Oprah said, ‘Haven’t you been looking at the pictures we’ve been showing you? Well - I guess you’re entitled to your opinion - let’s go to a break, and after it we’ll talk to some more people about this war on terrorism, because there are scary things going on.’
“She went on to try to back some woman from Buffalo into a corner about the alleged terrorist cell in Lackawanna, at which point I could no longer watch.
“Hey, no one’s saying that bad things aren’t going on, no one’s saying that Hussein isn’t crazy, and even as a Canadian I’m not too thrilled about the prospect of biological warfare being waged anywhere, let alone in the US. But I gotta say that I’m with the woman on the fence - why now? Why all of a sudden? Why war, if it’s only Hussein who’s the problem? (Okay, maybe the US needs to declare war because in war it’s okay to assassinate the leader of a country, whereas if they just sent in a SWAT team it would be ‘political assassination’ and therefore not so great - but it’s not like the US hasn’t got the ability to get that kind of thing done and blame it on someone else long enough for the history books to get written. They’ve done it before.) Is Oprah just another tool of the government feeding us propaganda? (Well, probably yes.) Why isn’t a dissenting voice - which wasn’t even dissenting, just questioning - allowed? How can these people be saying ‘Amen’ (they actually said that) to the whole idea of ‘a democratic and free America’ and not allow someone to ask a question and get a reasonable answer? It was a little frightening to me.
“What do you think?”
I think you don’t get a real picture of America by watching Oprah, but probably a much clearer picture than if you listen to Dan Rather, Tom Brokaw or Peter Jennings. I think someone on Oprah is probably closer to majority American opinion than someone quoted in The New York Times, and Oprah is simply pandering to her viewers’ preferences.
That said, I think there is a compelling case to go to war with Iraq if a) we can be sure Hussein’s closer to achieving weapons of mass destruction now than he was a year ago, and b) if we’re certain he was aiding, abetting or funding al-Qaeda. It’s easier for me to believe a) than b), simply for the reason that fundamental Islam is one of the few things Saddam’s scared of. It’s one of the few things that could topple him and he knows it. America’s the other one, but you know, he’s probably not as afraid of us for the very reason al-Qaeda wasn’t afraid of us until we blew through Afghanistan:
From the first World Trade Center bombing in 1993, where guys parked a truck packed with explosives underneath it and killed six people, to 9/11 al-Qaeda had been strongly suspected in the 1996 attack on Khobar Towers in Saudi Arabia which killed 19 people, bombing the U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania which killed 224 people, and the U.S.S. Cole attack, which killed 17 people. We did nothing each of those times. Granted draft-dodging war protester Bill Clinton was in office, so it’s not like we had a president who gave a damn, but still, there should have been some response. There was none.
Which is why bin Laden said openly hey, America’s weak, they cut and run when they get a bloody nose, we have nothing to fear from these people. That’s why 9/11 happened – based on experience he wasn’t afraid of the consequences.
Hussein saw America chicken out at the end of the Gulf War. We let him stay alive and in power. Why should he be afraid now? His experience tells him America doesn’t finish the job. He’s as wealthy under sanctions as he wants to be, political opposition’s a lot weaker, America’s making a lot of noise but they made a lot of noise in 1991 and he wasn’t touched then, so what?
But Saddam is afraid of fundamental Islam sweeping him out the way it did the Shah in 1979. It’s hard to think he’d buddy up to al-Qaeda, he might give limited support for certain objectives but I doubt – I admit I could be proven grossly wrong about this – there are significant al-Qaeda training camps in Iraq or top al-Qaeda leaders being sheltered there. Saddam doesn’t want it. He pays the families of suicide bombers the way most people toss a buck in the offering plate – keeps him in good graces with whoever’s watching.
I would support a war where I was confident the administration is sitting on solid evidence that Saddam was within months of acquiring nuclear weapons. I would support a war where I was confident it was known by the administration that Saddam provided significant material support to al-Qaeda. I do not think Bush is trying to use this for political advantage – what Democrat is he afraid of? Gephardt? Gore? Do not make me laugh.
But if (and when) we do invade Iraq, I wish we would remember the old Japanese proverb: If you must kill a snake, kill it once and for all. Don’t do what we did after the Gulf War, which is wound it and hope its natural enemies will finish the job we were too queasy to finish ourselves. It still rankles me that we used Afghan mercenaries, basically, to do the dangerous work of fighting al-Qaeda, we would have taken more casualties but inflicted far more punishment had we used American troops, and today al-Qaeda would be far weaker than it is.
